我國九十年全運會短距離跑成績分析

Abstract

本研究為提供國內田徑教練和選手一項國內最大型運動賽會短距離跑的運動員完整成績，並以實際的數據結果，歸納出可以預測賽次成績的方式，期望能夠協助成績提升。本研究以中華民國90年全國運動會的田徑賽事的短距離比賽成績為範圍，包括男、女一百公尺，男、女兩百公尺和男、女四百公尺等六個項目賽次成績。 研究結果顯示：男子一百公尺、女子一百公尺、男子兩百公尺和女子四百公尺的優勝者賽次成績都沒有顯著的差異，而男子四百公尺與女子兩百公尺的優勝者賽次成績則有顯著的差異，Ｐ＜.05，其中女子兩百公尺跑的趨向分析有達到直線趨向，Ｐ＜.05；在複賽和決賽設立一個成績的門檻是綜合以上的分析，複賽成績的門檻是預賽全部選手的平均成績為主；進入決賽推估門檻成績為：男子一百公尺是預賽前8名、複賽前8名平均成績；女子一百公尺是複賽前16名平均成績；男子二百公尺是預賽前8名、複賽前8名平均成績；女子二百公尺是預賽前8名、複賽前8名平均成績；男子四百公尺是預賽前16名、複賽前8名平均成績；女子四百公尺是預、複賽前8名平均成績。This research is to provide the domestic coaches and contestants the complete score of the largest sprint games in Taiwan. This data includes results actual with expectation that they can predict scores and improve. This research for the Republic of China Year 90 national sports games track and field events only contains the scores for Men’s and Women’s 100m sprint events, Men’s and Women’s 200m sprint events, and Men’s and Women’s 400m sprint events. The Study results were showed as follows: The score among rounds of the Men’s 100m events, the Women’s 100m events, the Men’s 200m events, the Women’s 400m events didn’t reach significant level , but the score among rounds of Men’s 400m events and Women’s 200m events reach P＜.05 significant level. And the trend analysis of Women’s 200m events reached linear trend, P＜.05.The Research also calculates establish the threshold of the score in next(semifinal) and final race. The threshold (of the rematch score) is an average score of all the contestants of preliminary contests. Entering the finals, the estimate threshold score is: Men’s 100m events is the average scores of the best 8 runners in first round, and in the semifinal; Women’s 100m events is the average scores of the best 16 runners in the semifinal; Men’s 200m events is the average scores of the best 8 runners in first round, and in the semifinal; Women’s 200m events is the average scores of the best 8 runners in first round, and in the semifinal; Men’s 400m events is the average scores of the best 16 runners in first round, and about the average scores of the best 8 runners in the semifinal; Women’s 400m events is the average scores of the best 8 runners in first round, and in the semifinal.